A really good fillies group 2 here which looks very open. IZZI TOP started the season well when winning the Dahlia at Newmarket two weeks ago after running keen but showing a good turn of foot and staying on best over 1m1f. This Oaks placed filly should relish the step up in trip, goes on all ground, should come on for that first run back and looks a top 4yo in the making.
She is really tough to oppose and i think she’ll go very close but I think I’M A DREAMER will too. She looks best fresh and absolutely demolished the Dahlia field in 2011 and although she didn’t win again, the step up to 1m2f saw a very close 2nd in the E P Taylor at Woodbine. Sea Of Heartbreak was in behind and that rival also chased her home in the Dahlia. 1m2f looks ideal now and that run also showed she will take to softer conditions although the ground is drying out. The two look the outstanding bets of the race and I really can’t see past them, meaning a forecast looks likely. If I had to choose one though it would be David Simcock’s mare who should have a decent pace to aim at and as already mentioned, is best fresh.
Timepiece should come on for her first run back but still I’ve never rated her as she was flattered to win the Falmouth as the race fell into her hands. She did back it up with a good run over 1m2f in France showing the trip is no problem but she will find it hard to dominate in this field.
Sajjhaa was 2nd to Midday in this last year and after a solid run at Ascot, then easily beat Myplacelater in a Listed race here. She was disappointing in her race after that and her stable are still yet to find their feet this season so she may just come on for this run.
Set To Music has progressive last year especially when moving up in trip and after an impressive listed win here over 1m4f, found only Meeznah too good in the Park Hill at Doncaster over 1m7f. She has to prove she can hack it in this at this trip still and although improvement is likely this season, this is a goo race and she still has it to prove for me.
Beatrice Aurore was seen regularly abroad last year after running a decent race in the Oaks and she was rewarded with a group 3 win and a place in an Italian group 1. That form doesn’t look outstanding and although she is entitled to improve for her first run back in the Earl Of Sefton when beaten by Questioning and Twice Over, she still needs to move forward to win this.
This will be tough for Sea Of Heartbreak who is a likeable filly but has a 3lb penalty to contend with due to her French group 2. That wasn’t strong form either though and more will be needed while she has twice seen the back of I’m A Dreamer and that rival may have the beating of her.
Last year’s Nell Gwyn winner Barefoot Lady ran to a decent level last year but was below this standard and her first run back didn’t see much promise, albeit on bottomless ground. Myplacelater was better last week at Chester when just failing to win the Huxley although on form last year has it to find with a few of these. Finally Mohedian Lady looked very promising last year at a time, especially when winning a Newmarket listed race over 1m4f. She was well beaten albeit in a very good St Simon Stakes and is the 2nd lowest rated of the field but more may be to come this year and it would be the biggest of shocks if she ran a good race.
IZZI TOP and I’M A DREAMER look to have the best chances and a forecast is advised. Izzi Top impressed when keen in the Dahlia just under 2 weeks ago but she readily scooted clear of Timepiece (may get closer here but step up in trip suits the latter more) and with conditions fine and the stable in great form, she looks a very solid favourite. I’m A Dreamer ran really well in Woodbine when last seen on her first try at 1m2f, only just failing to reel in the winner. She was a really impressive winner of the Dahlia the year before from Sea Of Heartbreak and may be best fresh. Conditions should be fine and there also should be a good pace for her to run at. Sajjhaa, 2nd in this last year, may need the race this time. Set To Music has to prove her effectiveness in this grade at this trip but would be interesting if she did. Beatrice Aurore needs to step up on her form last year and come on for her first run back. Barefoot Lady needs to bounce back now on better ground. Myplacelater is the lowest rated on figures but showed more promise again at Chester last week while Mohedian Lady may run a decent race at a price although will need to step up.
Advice – Izzi Top/I’m A Dreamer 1.5pt Reverse Forecast